The Canadian real estate market is poised for moderate growth in 2025, driven by steady interest rates, strong immigration, and shifting buyer preferences. Here’s a breakdown of the key trends shaping the market:
Market Trends
- Stable Price Growth: National home prices are expected to rise by 3-6% in 2025, with the average price reaching around $745,000. However, regional disparities will persist, with urban cores experiencing slower price growth compared to suburban and exurban areas.
- Regional Divergence: Cities with strong employment sectors and immigration-led growth will outperform others. Atlantic Canada and the Prairies are expected to see robust demand due to affordability concerns.
- Shift in Buyer Preferences: Buyers are becoming more discerning, prioritizing affordability and lifestyle needs. The demand for detached homes is holding up, while condominium sales are lagging.
Regional Highlights
- Vancouver Market: The Vancouver real estate market is expected to see a 7% increase in sales in 2025, driven by pent-up demand and lower interest rates. However, price growth will be moderate, with forecasts ranging from 1.7% to 7% growth.
- Ontario and BC: These provinces will experience stable or moderately higher prices, depending on interest rate trajectories.
Challenges and Opportunities
- Affordability Concerns: Stricter mortgage stress tests and high borrowing costs will continue to affect first-time buyers, with over 30% unable to enter the market.
- Luxury Segment: The luxury market remains strong, with prices increasing by 12% in popular areas like waterfront and ski resort towns.
- Rental Market: The rental vacancy rate in Metro Vancouver is around 1.6%, with average monthly rent for a two-bedroom apartment at approximately $2,200.
Outlook
The Canadian real estate market in 2025 will be characterized by moderate growth, regional divergence, and evolving buyer preferences. While challenges persist, informed buyers and investors can capitalize on opportunities in affordable regions and sectors.

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